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  "code": "7b.b.3c",
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  "code": "7b.b.3c",
            
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  "contributor": "NIOZ Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research",
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  "contributor": "NIOZ Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research",
            
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  "creators": "[{\"firstname\":\"Jim\",\"lastname\":\"van 
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  "creators": "[{\"firstname\":\"Jim\",\"lastname\":\"van 
            
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Belzen\",\"orcid\":\"0000-0003-2099-1545\",\"affiliation\":\"Royal 
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Belzen\",\"orcid\":\"0000-0003-2099-1545\",\"affiliation\":\"Royal 
            
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Netherlands Institute for Sea 
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Netherlands Institute for Sea 
            
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\"contactemailaddress\":\"jim.van.belzen@nioz.nl\",\"formatted\":\"Jim 
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\"contactemailaddress\":\"jim.van.belzen@nioz.nl\",\"formatted\":\"Jim 
            
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van Belzen - Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research - ORCID: 
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van Belzen - Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research - ORCID: 
            
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0000-0003-2099-1545 - Corresponding Author - 
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0000-0003-2099-1545 - Corresponding Author - 
            
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":\"Fivash\",\"orcid\":\"0000-0002-0767-7036\",\"affiliation\":\"Royal 
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":\"Fivash\",\"orcid\":\"0000-0002-0767-7036\",\"affiliation\":\"Royal 
            
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Netherlands Institute for Sea 
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Netherlands Institute for Sea 
            
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pondingauthor\":null,\"contactemailaddress\":null,\"formatted\":\"Greg 
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pondingauthor\":null,\"contactemailaddress\":null,\"formatted\":\"Greg 
            
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Fivash - Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research - ORCID: 
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Fivash - Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research - ORCID: 
            
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tname\":\"Hu\",\"orcid\":\"0000-0002-2809-3718\",\"affiliation\":\"Sun 
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tname\":\"Hu\",\"orcid\":\"0000-0002-2809-3718\",\"affiliation\":\"Sun 
            
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Yat-Sen 
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Yat-Sen 
            
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pondingauthor\":null,\"contactemailaddress\":null,\"formatted\":\"Zhan 
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pondingauthor\":null,\"contactemailaddress\":null,\"formatted\":\"Zhan 
            
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Hu - Sun Yat-Sen University - ORCID: 
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Hu - Sun Yat-Sen University - ORCID: 
            
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\":\"Bouma\",\"orcid\":\"0000-0001-7824-7546\",\"affiliation\":\"Royal 
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\":\"Bouma\",\"orcid\":\"0000-0001-7824-7546\",\"affiliation\":\"Royal 
            
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Netherlands Institute for Sea 
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Netherlands Institute for Sea 
            
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ndingauthor\":null,\"contactemailaddress\":null,\"formatted\":\"Tjeerd 
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ndingauthor\":null,\"contactemailaddress\":null,\"formatted\":\"Tjeerd 
            
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Bouma - Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research - ORCID: 
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Bouma - Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research - ORCID: 
            
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":\"Herman\",\"orcid\":\"0000-0003-2188-6341\",\"affiliation\":\"Delft 
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":\"Herman\",\"orcid\":\"0000-0003-2188-6341\",\"affiliation\":\"Delft 
            
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University of 
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University of 
            
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logy\",\"iscorrespondingauthor\":null,\"contactemailaddress\":null}]",
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logy\",\"iscorrespondingauthor\":null,\"contactemailaddress\":null}]",
            
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  "deposit_date": "2022-01-14",
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  "deposit_date": "2022-01-14",
            
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  "depositor": "Jim van Belzen",
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  "depositor": "Jim van Belzen",
            
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  "distribution_date": "2022-01-14",
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  "distribution_date": "2022-01-14",
            
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  "distributor": "Research Data Management(NIOZ Royal Netherlands 
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  "distributor": "Research Data Management(NIOZ Royal Netherlands 
            
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Institute for Sea Research)",
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Institute for Sea Research)",
            
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  "doi_date_published": "2022-03-31",
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  "doi_date_published": "2022-03-31",
            
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  "metadata_modified": "2024-10-22T11:45:48.418039",
            
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  "name": "7bb3c",
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  "name": "7bb3c",
            
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  "notes": "The establishment of young organisms in harsh environments 
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  "notes": "The establishment of young organisms in harsh environments 
            
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often requires a Window of Opportunity (WoO). That is, a short time 
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often requires a Window of Opportunity (WoO). That is, a short time 
            
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window in which environmental conditions drop long enough below the 
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window in which environmental conditions drop long enough below the 
            
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hostile average level, giving the organism time to develop tolerance 
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hostile average level, giving the organism time to develop tolerance 
            
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and transition into stable existence. It has been suggested that this 
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and transition into stable existence. It has been suggested that this 
            
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kind of establishment dynamics is a noise-induced transition between 
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kind of establishment dynamics is a noise-induced transition between 
            
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two alternate states. Understanding how temporal variability (i.e., 
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two alternate states. Understanding how temporal variability (i.e., 
            
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noise) in environmental conditions affects establishment of organisms 
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noise) in environmental conditions affects establishment of organisms 
            
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is therefore key, yet not well understood or included explicitly in 
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is therefore key, yet not well understood or included explicitly in 
            
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the WoO framework. In this paper we develop a coherent theoretical 
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the WoO framework. In this paper we develop a coherent theoretical 
            
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framework for understanding when WoO open or close based on simple 
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framework for understanding when WoO open or close based on simple 
            
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dichotomous environmental variation. We reveal that understanding of 
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dichotomous environmental variation. We reveal that understanding of 
            
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the intrinsic time scales of both the developing organism and the 
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the intrinsic time scales of both the developing organism and the 
            
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environment is fundamental to predict if organisms can or cannot 
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environment is fundamental to predict if organisms can or cannot 
            
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establish. These insights have allowed us to develop statistical laws 
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establish. These insights have allowed us to develop statistical laws 
            
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for predicting establishment probabilities based on the period and 
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for predicting establishment probabilities based on the period and 
            
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variance of the fluctuations in naturally variable environments. Based 
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variance of the fluctuations in naturally variable environments. Based 
            
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on this framework we now get a clear understanding of how changes in 
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on this framework we now get a clear understanding of how changes in 
            
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the timing and magnitude of climate variability or management can 
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the timing and magnitude of climate variability or management can 
            
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mediate establishment chances.",
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mediate establishment chances.",
            
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      "display_name": "critical transitions",
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      "id": "a40e502e-4a12-4777-b164-f36f61ab5e17",
            
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      "name": "stable state",
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  ],
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  "title": "A probabilistic framework for Windows of Opportunity: the 
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  "title": "A probabilistic framework for Windows of Opportunity: the 
            
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role of temporal variability in critical transitions_supplementary 
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role of temporal variability in critical transitions_supplementary 
            
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material",
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material",
            
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}
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