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Belzen\",\"orcid\":\"0000-0003-2099-1545\",\"affiliation\":\"Royal 
            
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Netherlands Institute for Sea 
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Netherlands Institute for Sea 
            
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\"contactemailaddress\":\"jim.van.belzen@nioz.nl\",\"formatted\":\"Jim 
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\"contactemailaddress\":\"jim.van.belzen@nioz.nl\",\"formatted\":\"Jim 
            
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van Belzen - Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research - ORCID: 
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van Belzen - Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research - ORCID: 
            
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0000-0003-2099-1545 - Corresponding Author - 
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0000-0003-2099-1545 - Corresponding Author - 
            
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":\"Fivash\",\"orcid\":\"0000-0002-0767-7036\",\"affiliation\":\"Royal 
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":\"Fivash\",\"orcid\":\"0000-0002-0767-7036\",\"affiliation\":\"Royal 
            
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Netherlands Institute for Sea 
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Netherlands Institute for Sea 
            
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Fivash - Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research - ORCID: 
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Fivash - Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research - ORCID: 
            
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Yat-Sen 
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Yat-Sen 
            
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pondingauthor\":null,\"contactemailaddress\":null,\"formatted\":\"Zhan 
            
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Hu - Sun Yat-Sen University - ORCID: 
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Hu - Sun Yat-Sen University - ORCID: 
            
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Netherlands Institute for Sea 
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Netherlands Institute for Sea 
            
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Bouma - Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research - ORCID: 
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":\"Herman\",\"orcid\":\"0000-0003-2188-6341\",\"affiliation\":\"Delft 
            
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University of 
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University of 
            
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logy\",\"iscorrespondingauthor\":null,\"contactemailaddress\":null}]",
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  "depositor": "Jim van Belzen",
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  "distributor": "Research Data Management(NIOZ Royal Netherlands 
            
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Institute for Sea Research)",
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Institute for Sea Research)",
            
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  "name": "7bb3c",
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  "name": "7bb3c",
            
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  "notes": "The establishment of young organisms in harsh environments 
44
  "notes": "The establishment of young organisms in harsh environments 
            
45
often requires a Window of Opportunity (WoO). That is, a short time 
45
often requires a Window of Opportunity (WoO). That is, a short time 
            
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window in which environmental conditions drop long enough below the 
46
window in which environmental conditions drop long enough below the 
            
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hostile average level, giving the organism time to develop tolerance 
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hostile average level, giving the organism time to develop tolerance 
            
48
and transition into stable existence. It has been suggested that this 
48
and transition into stable existence. It has been suggested that this 
            
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kind of establishment dynamics is a noise-induced transition between 
49
kind of establishment dynamics is a noise-induced transition between 
            
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two alternate states. Understanding how temporal variability (i.e., 
50
two alternate states. Understanding how temporal variability (i.e., 
            
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noise) in environmental conditions affects establishment of organisms 
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noise) in environmental conditions affects establishment of organisms 
            
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is therefore key, yet not well understood or included explicitly in 
52
is therefore key, yet not well understood or included explicitly in 
            
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the WoO framework. In this paper we develop a coherent theoretical 
53
the WoO framework. In this paper we develop a coherent theoretical 
            
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framework for understanding when WoO open or close based on simple 
54
framework for understanding when WoO open or close based on simple 
            
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dichotomous environmental variation. We reveal that understanding of 
55
dichotomous environmental variation. We reveal that understanding of 
            
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the intrinsic time scales of both the developing organism and the 
56
the intrinsic time scales of both the developing organism and the 
            
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environment is fundamental to predict if organisms can or cannot 
57
environment is fundamental to predict if organisms can or cannot 
            
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establish. These insights have allowed us to develop statistical laws 
58
establish. These insights have allowed us to develop statistical laws 
            
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for predicting establishment probabilities based on the period and 
59
for predicting establishment probabilities based on the period and 
            
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variance of the fluctuations in naturally variable environments. Based 
60
variance of the fluctuations in naturally variable environments. Based 
            
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on this framework we now get a clear understanding of how changes in 
61
on this framework we now get a clear understanding of how changes in 
            
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the timing and magnitude of climate variability or management can 
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the timing and magnitude of climate variability or management can 
            
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mediate establishment chances.",
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mediate establishment chances.",
            
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      "id": "bab32a5d-9556-4dec-9f07-90fde2ea25e7",
            
172
      "name": "temporal variability",
194
      "name": "temporal variability",
            
173
      "state": "active",
195
      "state": "active",
            
174
      "vocabulary_id": null
196
      "vocabulary_id": null
            
175
    }
197
    }
            
176
  ],
198
  ],
            
177
  "title": "A probabilistic framework for Windows of Opportunity: the 
199
  "title": "A probabilistic framework for Windows of Opportunity: the 
            
178
role of temporal variability in critical transitions_supplementary 
200
role of temporal variability in critical transitions_supplementary 
            
179
material",
201
material",
            
180
  "type": "dataset",
202
  "type": "dataset",
            
181
  "url": "https://dataportal.nioz.nl/doi/10.25850/nioz/7b.b.3c",
203
  "url": "https://dataportal.nioz.nl/doi/10.25850/nioz/7b.b.3c",
            
182
  "version": "1"
204
  "version": "1"
            
183
}
205
}